69 correct of 102 played
2026 FIFA World Cup™
Final Archive
We tracked the tournament, so how did we do? This page compares our projected results against the actual tournament outcomes, with the scorecard broken down by stage, group, and overall performance.
45 correct of 72
24 correct of 30
Round view
By stage
The knockout score is higher because every match has a resolved advancer, while the group-stage score includes draws.
Group stage 45/72 correct
62.5% Round of 32 14/16 correct
87.5% Round of 16 5/8 correct
62.5% Quarterfinals 4/4 correct
100% Semifinals 1/2 correct
50.0% Knockout total 24/30 correct
80.0% Group view
By group
Group I was perfect, Groups C and J were close behind, and Groups D, G, and H were the roughest patches.
Group A 4/6 correct
66.7% Group B 4/6 correct
66.7% Group C 5/6 correct
83.3% Group D 2/6 correct
33.3% Group E 3/6 correct
50.0% Group F 4/6 correct
66.7% Group G 2/6 correct
33.3% Group H 2/6 correct
33.3% Group I 6/6 correct
100% Group J 5/6 correct
83.3% Group K 4/6 correct
66.7% Group L 4/6 correct
66.7% Overall
Full scorecard
The model was strongest as a winner picker. It went 45 of 52 in non-drawn group games.
Overall 69/102 correct
67.6% Group stage 45/72 correct
62.5% Knockout to date 24/30 correct
80.0% Group winner-only 45/52 correct
86.5%